fivethirtyeight playoff odds

But if they lose, it’s an entirely different story. Per FiveThirtyEight, the win increased the Vikings’ playoff chances from 20% to 31%. From there, mean wins, as well as odds for playoff seed, division, wild card, and total playoff odds are shared. But strong performances from Tampa Bay and Atlanta have tampered New Orleans’ chance of a fourth consecutive NFC South division title, plummeting from 49% before the bye week down to 38%. Football Outsiders simulates the season 30,000 times based on their rating system. Take a look at postseason odds for each NFL team after Week 13 of the 2020 NFL season, according to several sites. According to FiveThirtyEight.com, Arizona’s win against New York improved its playoff … Current playoff/division odds (per @FiveThirtyEight): 70% to make playoffs, 38% to win division-With a win: 89% playoffs, 46% division-With a loss: 47% playoffs, 29% division If Miami defeats New England and Las Vegas, their playoff odds increase from 33 percent to 85 percent, according to fivethirtyeight.com. The Vikings will surely be favorites in that game. According to FiveThirtyEight, the 3-2 Saints still have a good shot at making the playoffs: down to just 68% after going into the bye at 72%. One. Here’s what FiveThirtyEight ranks Miami’s odds at depending on the results of their next three games: 0-3: 3% chance to make postseason; 1-2: 21% chance to make postseason (4% odds to win AFC East) 2-1: Approximately 65% chance to make postseason (18% chance to win AFC East) 3-0: 95% chance to make postseason (39% odds to win AFC East) Massive. A win over Houston increases Indianapolis' odds of making the playoffs by 5%, according to fivethirtyeight.com. If they win, they have an 89% chance of making the playoffs, per FiveThirtyEight. Following the result in Tampa, FiveThirtyEight now has Minnesota’s playoff chances at 20 percent and Football Outsiders has their odds at 15.3 percent. Per FiveThirtyEight.com’s playoff calculator, Seattle’s odds to win the No. The odds. On FiveThirtyEight, that’s better than the Bears (27%), and Lions (9%), but trails the Packers who are essentially a shoe-in with a 96% chance. And if Baltimore beats Cleveland tonight, it jumps to 88-26 percent. joshua.hermsmeyer: The Ravens are favored to make the playoffs over Miami in our model, 63-33 percent. This. Up next for the Vikings in Week 13 will be the Jacksonville Jaguars at U.S. Bank Stadium. 1 NFC seed are 6% if it wins its next two games and Green Bay beats Carolina but loses to Tennessee. If they win, their playoff percentage will jump up to 36%. FiveThirtyEight pegs the Vikes with a 37 percent chance to make the 2020 post-season, whereas Football Outsiders has the then with a 19.9 percent chance to do the same. Well, they're decent. The playoff odds report from Football Outsiders is another source to get a feel for what the Bears playoffs odds stand. Is. More importantly, a loss decreases the Colts' chances by 22%. Rating system ’ playoff chances from 20 % to 31 % their odds... According to fivethirtyeight.com are 6 % if it wins its next two games and Green Bay beats Carolina but to... It jumps to 88-26 percent playoff calculator, Seattle ’ s an entirely different story an entirely different story 31! For the Vikings in Week 13 will be the Jacksonville Jaguars at U.S. Bank Stadium Baltimore! Importantly, a loss decreases the Colts ' chances by 22 % ' by. 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